predictably-irrational

SKILL教育学习
教育学习 未标注权限 许可证不明确
安装这个技能

Dan Ariely's Predictably Irrational — an executable toolkit for understanding the hidden forces that shape our decisions: how biases, emotions, and social norms lead us to make predictably irrational choices. Covers 5 use cases: ① The Decoy Effect & Relativity — understand how comparison shapes our choices, and how decoys are used to steer decisions ("Why do I choose things I don't need" "How stores trick me into spending" "The power of comparison") ② Anchoring & Arbitrary Coherence — learn how first impressions and initial prices anchor our thinking, creating coherence in irrational decisions ("Why do I pay more than I should" "How first prices affect my spending" "The power of the first number") ③ The Power of Free — understand why "free" causes us to overvalue things and make irrational trade-offs ("Why do I pick free stuff I don't need" "The cost of zero" "How free distorts my judgment") ④ Social Norms vs Market Norms — distinguish between social exchange and market exchange, and avoid mixing them ("Why mixing money and friendship is dangerous" "Social norms vs market norms" "When free becomes paid") ⑤ Procrastination & Self-Control — understand why we procrastinate and how pre-commitment strategies can overcome it ("Why do I procrastinate" "How to overcome procrastination" "Self-control strategies") Trigger when users say: "Behavioral economics" "Predictably Irrational" "Dan Ariely" "Why do I make bad decisions" "Decoy effect" "Anchoring bias" "Power of free" "Social norms" "Procrastination" "Endowment effect" "Irrational behavior" "Decision making" "Cognitive biases" "Consumer behavior" or mention: Dan Ariely / Predictably Irrational / behavioral economics / decoy effect / anchoring / free / social norms / procrastination / endowment effect / relativity / arbitrary coherence. Also triggers when the user says they just installed this skill or doesn't know how to start — the AI MUST proactively present the Quick Start guide below. Related skills: the-art-of-thinking-clearly (cognitive biases), clear-thinking-book (decision frameworks), nudge (choice architecture), the-happiness-advantage (decision psychology), atomic-habits (behavior change).

一句话选型结论

按资料字段整理

predictably-irrational是教育学习类的 Agent Skill,安装方式未标注,权限级别未标注,许可证不明确,有可直接复制的安装命令。技能本质是给模型读的说明书,效果取决于模型与客户端;装完先用一个小任务验证,再放进正式流程。

分类教育学习 安装方式未标注 权限级别未标注权限 许可证许可证不明确
累计安装 未标注 本周 未标注
GitHub 星标 未标注 仓库 未标注
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权限级别 未标注权限 安装前请确认风险范围
许可证 许可证不明确 未说明

安装

未标注
在支持 Skills 的客户端里执行,装完问一句「你有哪些技能」验证
skillhub install user_15292d5a/yjkj-predictably-irrational
  1. 1
    确认客户端支持

    确认你的客户端支持 Skills(Claude、Codex、Cursor 等),并升级到较新的版本。

  2. 2
    拿到技能文件

    执行上面的命令安装;也可以把仓库里的 SKILL.md 手动放进客户端的 skills 目录。

  3. 3
    刷新技能列表

    重新打开客户端,或刷新技能列表,让新放进来的技能被加载。

  4. 4
    验证是否生效

    问一句「你有哪些技能」,确认列表里出现它,再拿一个小任务试跑。

技能档案

教育学习
字段来自技能仓库与公开索引,中文说明由本站标注
作者 / 维护方user_15292d5a仓库 未标注 · 版本 未标注
宿主客户端未标注技能可被这些客户端加载
安装方式未标注安装包 community
权限级别未标注权限安装前请确认风险范围
许可证未说明许可证不明确,商用前请自行确认条款
仓库可用性available技能仓库当前是否可访问
最近核验未标注上游最后核验时间 · 数据更新 1791684127
正文体量8.2 KBSKILL.md 原文大小,越大说明说明书写得越细

典型使用场景

3 类
按分类整理的常见用法,具体以 SKILL.md 为准
讲解知识点

按水平把知识点讲清楚。

出练习题

按章节生成练习与答案。

制定学习计划

按目标和时间排学习节奏。

选择建议

装之前先看这几条
按条目字段给出的判断,不替你决定用不用

值得选的地方

  • 有可直接复制的安装命令,不用自己翻文档找入口。

先想清楚的地方

  • 没有标注权限级别,实际能做什么要装好后确认。
  • 许可证不明确,商用或二次分发前先到仓库确认条款。
  • 没有做站内核验,内容以作者仓库为准。
  • 技能只是说明书,实际效果取决于模型与客户端,装完先用小任务试一遍。

更适合

  • 需要在教育学习场景里给模型补一套做法的人。
  • 愿意先读一遍 SKILL.md、确认它会让模型做什么的人。

不太适合

  • 对许可证要求很严、必须明确可商用的人。
  • 只想装完就自动变强、不打算看说明书的人。

同类对比

6 个同类
同分类里挑最接近的几条,字段以各自详情页为准
技能权限级别安装方式累计安装宿主客户端安装命令
predictably-irrational当前 未标注权限 未标注 未标注 未标注 有
食谱创建课堂课程 未标注权限 GitHub 仓库 25.5 万 Codex、Claude、Cursor 有
语言学习 联网访问 ClawHub 市场 23.6 万 OpenClaw 有
learning 效率 只读 ClawHub 市场 19.2 万 OpenClaw 有
学习习惯 未标注权限 ClawHub 市场 10.2 万 OpenClaw 有
日语家教 只读 ClawHub 市场 8.2 万 OpenClaw 有

SKILL.md 全文

8.2 KB
模型实际读到的说明书原文,来自技能仓库

Quick Start (Onboarding)

On first load, the AI MUST proactively present this guide without waiting for the user to ask. Present the entire Quick Start in the user's language.

> Welcome to Predictably Irrational 🧠
> Try copying one of these messages to me (I'll show up whenever I sense this book could help):
>
> "Why do I always choose the most expensive option on the menu?"
> "How do stores use decoys to make me spend more?"
> "Why do I pick free shipping even when it costs more?"
> "How do I stop procrastinating on important tasks?"
> "Why do I value things more once I own them?"
> "How do social norms affect my spending decisions?"
>
> Or just say: "Map this book to my life."


Philosophy (4 Rules to Remember)

  1. Humans are not rational — we are predictably irrational. Our decisions follow systematic patterns that can be understood and anticipated.
  2. We rarely make decisions in isolation — we compare, and comparisons can be manipulated.
  3. The first price we see (anchor) shapes all subsequent decisions about value.
  4. "Free" causes us to make wildly irrational choices. The cost of zero is never zero.

Rules When Using This Skill

  1. Language — Reply in the same language the user wrote in. Default to English when ambiguous. Watermark and title stay in English.

  2. Use the Intent Routing Table below. Read only the relevant reference (lazy load).

  3. Stay faithful to Ariely's framework. Preserve original naming (Decoy Effect, Arbitrary Coherence, The Cost of Social Norms, The Power of Free).

  4. Watermark — EVERY output MUST end with this format. Never omit it.

```
[One specific, immediate action the user can take right now.]


Generated by Heardly App — turning books into knowledge you can Listen and Execute.
```

  1. Cross-book recommendation rule: Only when signal is clear.

Intent Routing Table

What the user is doing Read this reference Core tools
Decoy effect / "Comparison shopping" / "Which to choose" references/1-core-framework.md Relativity, Decoys, Dominated Alternatives
Anchoring / "First prices" / "How value is set" references/1-core-framework.md Arbitrary Coherence, First Anchor, Self-Herding
Free / "Zero cost" / "Free shipping" / "Bonuses" references/2-principles.md Cost of Zero, Free = Irrational, Social Exchange
Social norms / "Friends and money" / "Gifts vs payments" references/3-techniques.md Social vs Market Norms, Mixing Norms, Fines
Procrastination / "Self-control" / "Deadlines" references/4-anti-patterns.md Pre-Commitment, Deadlines, Immediate vs Delayed

Core Framework Quick Reference

  • The Decoy Effect — When faced with two options, adding a third "decoy" option that is clearly worse than one of them makes that one more attractive.
  • Arbitrary Coherence — Initial prices are arbitrary (influenced by the first number we see), but once set, they shape all future decisions coherently.
  • The Cost of Zero — "Free" causes us to make wildly irrational decisions because we perceive no downside.
  • Social Norms vs Market Norms — We operate in two different worlds: social (favors, gifts, relationships) and market (money, prices, transactions). Mixing them creates problems.
  • Pre-Commitment — The most effective way to overcome procrastination is to commit in advance to deadlines with real consequences.

Key Principles

  1. Everything is relative — We don't evaluate options in isolation. We compare. And comparisons can be influenced.
  2. First impressions anchor everything — The first price you see for a product shapes your sense of what it's worth, even if that price is arbitrary.
  3. Free is dangerously seductive — "Free" shorts our rational decision-making. We overvalue anything with a zero price tag.
  4. Social and market norms don't mix — Once money enters a relationship, it becomes a market exchange. You can't go back.
  5. Temptation is best managed in advance — The best time to resist temptation is before it arises. Pre-commit works.

Anti-Pattern Summary

The most dangerous assumption in decision-making: believing you are rational. We all think we make logical choices based on our preferences. The research shows we are systematically influenced by factors we don't even notice: arbitrary anchors, decoys, the word "free," and the framing of choices.


Self-Check: Recall Test

  1. "I always pick the middle option on the menu" — The decoy effect: the most expensive option makes the middle one look reasonable.
  2. "I paid $50 for something worth $20" — Anchoring: the first price you saw anchored your sense of value.
  3. "I chose free shipping over a discount" — The cost of zero: free is so attractive that you overvalue it.
  4. "I feel weird charging my friend for a favor" — Social norms vs market norms: mixing them creates discomfort.
  5. "I keep procrastinating on my goals" — Pre-commitment: set deadlines with real consequences in advance.
  6. "I can't sell my house for what I think it's worth" — Endowment effect: we value what we own more than what we don't.
  7. "I keep buying things I don't need" — Relativity and decoys: marketers use comparisons to steer your choices.
  8. "Why do I overvalue something once I own it?" — The endowment effect: ownership changes our perception of value.

Cross-Book Recommendations

  • The Art of Thinking Clearly → For a comprehensive catalog of cognitive biases
  • Clear Thinking → For decision-making frameworks under uncertainty
  • Atomic Habits → For behavior design and pre-commitment strategies
  • The Happiness Advantage → For the psychology of positive decision-making
  • Nudge → For choice architecture and how environments shape decisions

> 💡 Heardly Tip: Next time you're shopping and see a "free" offer, pause. Ask yourself: "If this weren't free, would I still want it?" The answer will reveal whether you actually need it or if the zero price is driving your decision.

常见问题

5 问
答案由本站依据条目字段整理
predictably-irrational怎么安装?

在支持 Skills 的客户端里执行:skillhub install user_15292d5a/yjkj-predictably-irrational。安装方式为未标注。装完刷新技能列表或重开客户端。

predictably-irrational支持哪些客户端?

资料没有标注宿主客户端,但只要客户端支持 Skills(Claude、Codex、Cursor 等),一般都能加载。

predictably-irrational权限高吗,安全吗?

权限级别为未标注权限。安装前先看它会读取或写入哪些内容。

predictably-irrational收费吗?

本站不代收费用,也没有标注具体价格。是否收费取决于技能本身和所用的模型或客户端,正式使用前按作者说明确认。

predictably-irrational用什么许可证?

许可证标注为 未说明(许可证不明确)。商用或二次分发前请到仓库确认条款原文。

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技能内容以作者仓库为准;分类、权限级别与许可证状态的中文说明为中文整理,最近核验 未标注。